The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has recently upgraded its Probabilistic Storm Surge (P-Surge) model ahead of 2023 Hurricane Season beginning on June 1. The P-Surge is the primary model for predicting storm surge associated with high-impact weather, such as hurricanes and tropical storms. The version 3.0 advances storm surge modeling and forecasting for the continental United States, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands.
The upgrade features several capabilities that will help forecasters understand the risk of storm surge, such as new forecasts for surge, tide and waves for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Forecasters can also now run the model simultaneously for two storms, capability that can help during two landfalling storms impacting the CONUS, or one storm impacting the U.S. and one impacting Puerto Rico and/or the U.S. Virgin Islands. Furthermore,…more